Full time ยท actual result
โ๏ธ Customize the model & lineupsโพ
How this worksโพ
Two lenses on the same match. One reads the result โ who should win. The other reads the stateโ who's feeling it today. Football is decided by both, which is why favourites get upset.
๐ Data lens โ paper strength
Pure form-on-paper: a team's FIFA ranking and Elo rating mapped onto a 0โ100 scale. It knows nothing about the calendar โ only who is, historically, the stronger side. On its own it calls the winner of most matches, so this is the lens that drives the prediction.
โจ Stars lens โ match-day energy
The intangibles a strength rating can't see โ confidence, rhythm, the off-day. Each player gets a personal energy reading for that specific date(the same engine behind the natal-chart tool); a team's number is the squad's weighted average. It doesn't pick the winner โ talent does that โ it colors the state: who's on song, the likely scoreline shape, the day a side might wobble. The same teams on another date would read differently. For fun, not a forecast.
๐ค Consensus โ the blend
A weighted mix, controlled by the Strength / Form slider below (default Data-led). Watch for the โmodels disagreeโbanner โ strength favours one side but the energy leans the other way. We don't claim that beats the bookmakers; it's simply the match with the best story.
The dials you can turn
Strength / Form blend โ how much the Consensus leans on hard data vs. match-day energy. Updates live, no re-read needed.
Star player influenceโ how heavily marquee players (โ /โญ) pull the Stars lens. ร0 treats every player equally; ร1 is normal; ร2 doubles a superstar's influence on their team's energy.
Squad depth โ score the starting XI only, or the full squad. Re-reads the energy for whichever set you pick.
Changing Star player influence or Squad depth needs a re-read (the energy is recomputed server-side); the Strength / Form slider is instant.
Compare players
Below the prediction you can pit players against each other on their match-day energy. Squad averageticks any set of players (default: the day's starters) and compares the group averages; Head-to-head lets you tap one player per side for a direct 1-v-1.
For entertainment purposes only โ a blend of data and astrology, not betting advice or real odds.
How much star players sway the Stars read (ร0 = everyone equal, ร2 = double a superstar's pull).
Sets the Consensus blend โ updates live (no re-read needed).
How much the head coach's ability + match-day energy sway the read.
How much this tournament's results so far nudge the consensus. No matches played yet.